The CFP race

12 teams with the highest individual playoff chances. This is not a projected field or bracket.

TeamMake CFP

#1Ohio State6–0>99%#3Indiana6–088%#2Miami5–083%#9Georgia5–181%#5Ole Miss6–080%#6Alabama5–180%#8Oregon5–178%#7Texas Tech6–070%#13Notre Dame4–269%#4Texas A&M6–064%#22Memphis6–037%#10LSU5–132%

#2Miami5–0 · ACC▲ +1pp83%

#9Georgia5–1 · SEC▲ +16pp81%

#5Ole Miss6–0 · SEC▼ −5pp80%

#6Alabama5–1 · SEC▲ +4pp80%

#8Oregon5–1 · Big Ten▼ −11pp78%

#7Texas Tech6–0 · Big 12▲ +19pp70%

#13Notre Dame4–2 · FBS Independents▲ +4pp69%

#4Texas A&M6–0 · SEC▲ +7pp64%

#22Memphis6–0 · American Athletic▲ +4pp37%

#10LSU5–1 · SEC▲ +11pp32%

#11Tennessee5–1 · SEC▼ −2pp28%

#21Texas4–2 · SEC▲ +4pp19%

#23Utah5–1 · Big 12▲ +12pp18%

#16Missouri5–1 · SEC▲ +3pp18%

#19South Florida5–1 · American Athletic▲ +14pp17%

#15BYU6–0 · Big 12▲ +3pp17%

Boise State4–2 · Mountain West▲ +1pp17%

Penn State3–3 · Big Ten▼ −7pp15%

#14Oklahoma5–1 · SEC▼ −35pp15%

…

… · NBC

#20USCat#13Notre Dame

Final · #20 USC 24–34 #13 Notre Dame

…

… · FOX

#23Utahat#15BYU

Final · #23 Utah 21–24 #15 BYU

…

… · ABC

#10LSUat#17Vanderbilt

Final · #10 LSU 24–31 #17 Vanderbilt

…

… · ABC

#11Tennesseeat#6Alabama

Final · #11 Tennessee 20–37 #6 Alabama

…

… · ABC

#5Ole Missat#9Georgia

Final · #5 Ole Miss 35–43 #9 Georgia

…

… · ESPN

Louisvilleat#2Miami

Final · Louisville 24–21 #2 Miami

…

… · ESPN

#4Texas A&MatArkansas

Final · #4 Texas A&M 45–42 Arkansas

…

… · FOX

#7Texas TechatArizona State

Final · #7 Texas Tech 22–26 Arizona State

…

… · SEC Network

#14OklahomaatSouth Carolina

Final · #14 Oklahoma 26–7 South Carolina

…

… · SEC Network

#16MissouriatAuburn

Final · #16 Missouri 23–17 Auburn

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.