The Mountain West race
12 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
12 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise State | 2–0 | 4–2 | 6.6–1.4 | 77% | 47% | 17% |
 UNLV | 2–0 | 6–0 | 6.5–1.5 | 74% | 37% | 9% |
 San Diego State | 2–0 | 5–1 | 5.8–2.2 | 33% | 12% | 2% |
 Fresno State | 2–1 | 5–2 | 4.3–3.7 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Hawai'i | 2–1 | 5–2 | 3.7–4.3 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 San José State | 1–1 | 2–4 | 4.4–3.6 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Colorado State | 1–1 | 2–4 | 3.6–4.4 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Utah State | 1–1 | 3–3 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Wyoming | 1–1 | 3–3 | 3.6–4.4 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 New Mexico | 0–2 | 3–3 | 3.2–4.8 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Air Force | 0–4 | 1–5 | 1.8–6.2 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
 Nevada | 0–2 | 1–5 | 1.1–6.9 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.