The Mid-American race
13 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
12 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami (OH) | 2–0 | 3–3 | 5.7–2.3 | 40% | 19% | <1% |
 Buffalo | 2–0 | 3–3 | 5.8–2.2 | 33% | 13% | <1% |
 Western Michigan | 3–0 | 4–3 | 5.6–2.4 | 28% | 12% | <1% |
 Ohio | 1–1 | 3–3 | 5.7–2.3 | 46% | 32% | 3% |
 Bowling Green | 1–1 | 3–3 | 6.0–2.0 | 39% | 17% | <1% |
 Central Michigan | 1–1 | 3–3 | 3.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Ball State | 1–1 | 2–4 | 2.9–5.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Kent State | 1–1 | 2–4 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
 Toledo | 1–2 | 3–3 | 5.2–2.8 | 12% | 8% | <1% |
 Eastern Michigan | 1–2 | 2–5 | 2.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Akron | 1–2 | 2–5 | 3.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Northern Illinois | 0–2 | 1–5 | 3.6–4.4 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Massachusetts | 0–2 | 0–6 | 0.7–7.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.