The Mid-American race
13 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
13 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 3; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ohio | 0–0 | 1–1 | 6.7–1.3 | 69% | 48% | 8% |
 Toledo | 0–0 | 1–1 | 6.0–2.0 | 38% | 17% | <1% |
 Bowling Green | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.5–2.5 | 25% | 10% | 0% |
 Northern Illinois | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.4–2.6 | 21% | 9% | 0% |
 Buffalo | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.3–2.7 | 20% | 7% | 0% |
 Miami (OH) | 0–0 | 0–2 | 4.7–3.3 | 16% | 6% | 0% |
 Western Michigan | 0–0 | 0–2 | 3.8–4.2 | 5% | 2% | 0% |
 Eastern Michigan | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.8–5.2 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 Central Michigan | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.6–4.4 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 Massachusetts | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Akron | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Ball State | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Kent State | 0–0 | 1–1 | 1.3–6.7 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3).