The Mid-American race
13 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
13 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 3; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ohio | 0–0 | 1–1 | 6.6–1.4 | 71% | 50% | 12% |
 Toledo | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.9–2.1 | 37% | 17% | 1% |
 Bowling Green | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.5–2.5 | 26% | 10% | <1% |
 Northern Illinois | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.3–2.7 | 20% | 8% | <1% |
 Buffalo | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.3–2.7 | 20% | 7% | <1% |
 Miami (OH) | 0–0 | 0–2 | 4.7–3.3 | 16% | 6% | <1% |
 Western Michigan | 0–0 | 0–2 | 3.8–4.2 | 5% | 1% | <1% |
 Eastern Michigan | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.8–5.2 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 Central Michigan | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.6–4.4 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Massachusetts | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Akron | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Ball State | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Kent State | 0–0 | 1–1 | 1.4–6.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.