The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
17 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 3; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #5Miami | 0–0 | 2–0 | 6.0–2.0 | 45% | 28% | 54% |
 Louisville | 0–0 | 2–0 | 5.2–2.8 | 35% | 20% | 20% |
 #12Clemson | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.4–2.6 | 33% | 17% | 20% |
 SMU | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.3–2.7 | 30% | 16% | 16% |
 California | 0–0 | 2–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 10% | 4% | 3% |
 Georgia Tech | 0–0 | 2–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 11% | 4% | 2% |
 Pittsburgh | 0–0 | 2–0 | 3.9–4.1 | 6% | 2% | <1% |
 Virginia | 0–0 | 1–1 | 4.4–3.6 | 6% | 2% | <1% |
 NC State | 0–0 | 2–0 | 4.1–3.9 | 6% | 2% | <1% |
 Virginia Tech | 0–0 | 0–2 | 3.4–4.6 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Boston College | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.4–4.6 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Duke | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.5–4.5 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
 Syracuse | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.2–4.8 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 #10Florida State | 0–0 | 2–0 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | 3% |
 North Carolina | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.5–4.5 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Wake Forest | 0–0 | 2–0 | 2.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Stanford | 0–0 | 0–2 | 1.6–6.4 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.