California Golden Bears
2–0 · 0–0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
10%
ACC title game
4%
Win the ACC
2%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.5
How the week went: playoff odds 2% → 4% · title-game odds 10% → 13%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves California's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
Minnesota at California
Your game. Beat Minnesota and your playoff odds are 3%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Final · Minnesota 14–27 CaliforniaWish granted ✓
Just win
No other game this week meaningfully moves California's odds. Enjoy the football.
46 more games that don't move your needle
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern · FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Purdue · CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss · ESPN
Ohio at Ohio State · Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3).