California Golden Bears
3–0 · 0–0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
12%
ACC title game
4%
Win the ACC
3%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.9
How the week went: playoff odds 3% → <1% · title-game odds 12% → 2%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves California's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
California at San Diego State
Your game. Beat San Diego State and your playoff odds are 4%; lose and they drop to 2%.
Final · California 0–34 San Diego StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
NC State at Duke
ACC race: NC State losing helps your spot in the standings; Duke visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.
Final · NC State 33–45 DukeWish granted ✓
Root for Duke+2.1 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.