The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
17 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 4; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #18Georgia Tech | 1–0 | 3–0 | 5.2–2.8 | 17% | 5% | 5% |
 NC State | 1–0 | 3–0 | 4.6–3.4 | 10% | 3% | 1% |
 Stanford | 1–0 | 1–2 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Clemson | 0–1 | 1–2 | 4.9–3.1 | 14% | 7% | 9% |
 Boston College | 0–1 | 1–2 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Wake Forest | 0–1 | 2–1 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 #4Miami | 0–0 | 3–0 | 6.5–1.5 | 66% | 47% | 72% |
 Louisville | 0–0 | 2–0 | 5.2–2.8 | 31% | 16% | 17% |
 SMU | 0–0 | 2–1 | 5.3–2.7 | 28% | 13% | 14% |
 California | 0–0 | 3–0 | 4.8–3.2 | 12% | 4% | 3% |
 Virginia | 0–0 | 2–1 | 4.4–3.6 | 5% | 1% | <1% |
 Pittsburgh | 0–0 | 2–1 | 3.7–4.3 | 5% | 1% | <1% |
 Duke | 0–0 | 1–2 | 3.5–4.5 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
 Virginia Tech | 0–0 | 0–3 | 2.8–5.2 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 North Carolina | 0–0 | 2–1 | 3.5–4.5 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 #7Florida State | 0–0 | 2–0 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | 5% |
 Syracuse | 0–0 | 2–1 | 3.1–4.9 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.