The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
14 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 9; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU | 3–0 | 5–2 | 6.5–1.5 | 45% | 27% | 22% |
 #7Georgia Tech | 4–0 | 7–0 | 6.7–1.3 | 47% | 17% | 43% |
 #16Virginia | 3–0 | 6–1 | 6.2–1.8 | 29% | 10% | 12% |
 Duke | 3–1 | 4–3 | 5.5–2.5 | 13% | 5% | 3% |
 Pittsburgh | 3–1 | 5–2 | 5.4–2.6 | 11% | 5% | 4% |
 #19Louisville | 2–1 | 5–1 | 5.7–2.3 | 28% | 17% | 18% |
 California | 2–1 | 5–2 | 3.6–4.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 #9Miami | 1–1 | 5–1 | 5.9–2.1 | 27% | 19% | 57% |
 Stanford | 2–2 | 3–4 | 2.9–5.1 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
 Clemson | 2–3 | 3–4 | 3.9–4.1 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
 Wake Forest | 1–2 | 4–2 | 2.8–5.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 NC State | 1–2 | 4–3 | 3.1–4.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Virginia Tech | 1–2 | 2–5 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Syracuse | 1–3 | 3–4 | 2.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Boston College | 0–4 | 1–6 | 0.6–7.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida State | 0–4 | 3–4 | 2.1–5.9 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 North Carolina | 0–2 | 2–4 | 2.0–6.0 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.