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#9Miami Hurricanes

5–1 · 1–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
27%
ACC title game
19%
Win the ACC
57%
Make the playoff
16%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.5
How the week went: playoff odds 57% → 47%.
Playoff odds by week
123456789

If Miami wins out: 63% to win the ACC, 94% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Miami's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
Stanford at #9 Miami

Your game. Beat Stanford and your playoff odds are 57%; lose and they drop to 31%.

Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Syracuse at #7 Georgia Tech

ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Syracuse visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Final · Syracuse 16–41 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+7.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ACC Network
#16 Virginia at North Carolina

ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Virginia 17–16 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for North Carolina+5.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
UCLA at #2 Indiana

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and UCLA winning protects it.

Final · UCLA 6–56 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for UCLA+3.9 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · CBSSN
Florida Atlantic at Navy

Florida Atlantic winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Florida Atlantic 32–42 NavyWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Boston College at #19 Louisville

ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; Louisville losing softens the sting of your loss to them.

Final · Boston College 24–38 LouisvilleWent the other way ✗
Root for Boston College+2.9 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #20 LSU

LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas A&M 49–25 LSUWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
Middle Tennessee at Delaware

Middle Tennessee winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Middle Tennessee 28–31 DelawareWent the other way ✗
Root for Middle Tennessee+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
California at Virginia Tech

ACC race: California losing helps your spot in the standings; Virginia Tech visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · California 34–42 Virginia TechWish granted ✓
Root for Virginia Tech+2.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH)

Western Michigan winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Western Michigan 17–26 Miami (OH)Went the other way ✗
Root for Western Michigan+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · The CW Network
SMU at Wake Forest

SMU visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Final · SMU 12–13 Wake ForestWent the other way ✗
Root for SMU+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
Colorado State at Wyoming

Wyoming winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Colorado State 0–28 WyomingWish granted ✓
Root for Wyoming+1.3 pp playoff odds
41 more games that don't move your needle
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.