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#10Miami Hurricanes

6–1 · 2–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
27%
ACC title game
21%
Win the ACC
47%
Make the playoff
10%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.9
How the week went: playoff odds 47% → 12% · title-game odds 27% → 3%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678910

If Miami wins out: 61% to win the ACC, 88% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Miami's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
#10 Miami at SMU

Your game. Beat SMU and your playoff odds are 63%; lose and they drop to 26%.

Final · Miami 20–26 SMUWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State

ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; NC State visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+11.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#12 Notre Dame at Boston College

You already beat Notre Dame; them losing again keeps them behind you.

Final · Notre Dame 25–10 Boston CollegeWent the other way ✗
Root for Boston College+6.6 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at Clemson

ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Duke 46–45 ClemsonWent the other way ✗
Root for Clemson+6.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
#15 Virginia at California

ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Virginia 31–21 CaliforniaWent the other way ✗
Root for California+6.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · The CW Network
#16 Louisville at Virginia Tech

ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; Louisville losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Virginia Tech visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · Louisville 28–16 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+6.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Florida State

ACC race: Wake Forest losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Florida State — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Wake Forest 7–42 Florida StateWish granted ✓
Root for Florida State+4.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
North Carolina at Syracuse

ACC race: North Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; Syracuse visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Final · North Carolina 27–10 SyracuseWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+3.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · ACC Network
Pittsburgh at Stanford

ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Stanford — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Pittsburgh in week 14.

Final · Pittsburgh 35–20 StanfordWent the other way ✗
Root for Stanford+2.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#9 Vanderbilt at #20 Texas

Texas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWish granted ✓
Root for Texas+1.4 pp playoff odds
42 more games that don't move your needle
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida · ABC
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.