The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
10 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 10; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #8Georgia Tech | 5–0 | 8–0 | 7.0–1.0 | 64% | 28% | 45% |
 #15Virginia | 4–0 | 7–1 | 6.5–1.5 | 41% | 14% | 19% |
 Pittsburgh | 4–1 | 6–2 | 5.6–2.4 | 12% | 7% | 5% |
 #16Louisville | 3–1 | 6–1 | 5.7–2.3 | 27% | 16% | 23% |
 SMU | 3–1 | 5–3 | 5.7–2.3 | 14% | 9% | 9% |
 Duke | 3–1 | 4–3 | 5.5–2.5 | 13% | 6% | 4% |
 #10Miami | 2–1 | 6–1 | 6.0–2.0 | 27% | 21% | 47% |
 Wake Forest | 2–2 | 5–2 | 3.5–4.5 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Virginia Tech | 2–2 | 3–5 | 2.8–5.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 California | 2–2 | 5–3 | 3.3–4.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Clemson | 2–3 | 3–4 | 3.9–4.1 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
 Stanford | 2–3 | 3–5 | 2.8–5.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 NC State | 1–3 | 4–4 | 2.7–5.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Syracuse | 1–4 | 3–5 | 2.3–5.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Boston College | 0–5 | 1–7 | 0.6–7.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida State | 0–4 | 3–4 | 2.2–5.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 North Carolina | 0–3 | 2–5 | 1.9–6.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.