The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
7 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 12; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU | 5–1 | 7–3 | 6.5–1.5 | 42% | 29% | 23% |
 #16Georgia Tech | 5–1 | 8–1 | 6.3–1.7 | 43% | 19% | 20% |
 #19Virginia | 5–1 | 8–2 | 6.1–1.9 | 29% | 10% | 10% |
 #22Pittsburgh | 5–1 | 7–2 | 5.8–2.2 | 14% | 8% | 8% |
 Duke | 4–1 | 5–4 | 6.2–1.8 | 56% | 24% | 12% |
 #20Louisville | 4–2 | 7–2 | 4.9–3.1 | 10% | 6% | 9% |
 #15Miami | 3–2 | 7–2 | 5.4–2.6 | 6% | 4% | 25% |
 California | 3–3 | 6–4 | 3.8–4.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Wake Forest | 3–3 | 6–3 | 3.8–4.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Clemson | 3–4 | 4–5 | 3.4–4.6 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 NC State | 2–3 | 5–4 | 3.3–4.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 North Carolina | 2–3 | 4–5 | 2.9–5.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Virginia Tech | 2–3 | 3–6 | 2.6–5.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Stanford | 2–5 | 3–7 | 2.4–5.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida State | 1–5 | 4–5 | 2.3–5.7 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Syracuse | 1–6 | 3–7 | 1.6–6.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Boston College | 0–6 | 1–9 | 0.6–7.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.