The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
8 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 12; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SMU | 5–1 | 7–3 | 6.5–1.5 | 42% | 29% | 29% |
#16Georgia Tech | 5–1 | 8–1 | 6.3–1.7 | 42% | 19% | 19% |
#19Virginia | 5–1 | 8–2 | 6.1–1.9 | 30% | 10% | 10% |
#22Pittsburgh | 5–1 | 7–2 | 5.8–2.2 | 14% | 7% | 7% |
Duke | 4–1 | 5–4 | 6.2–1.8 | 56% | 24% | 5% |
#20Louisville | 4–2 | 7–2 | 4.9–3.1 | 10% | 6% | 6% |
#15Miami | 3–2 | 7–2 | 5.5–2.5 | 6% | 4% | 4% |
California | 3–3 | 6–4 | 3.8–4.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Wake Forest | 3–3 | 6–3 | 3.8–4.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clemson | 3–4 | 4–5 | 3.4–4.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Virginia Tech | 2–3 | 3–6 | 2.6–5.4 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
NC State | 2–3 | 5–4 | 3.2–4.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
North Carolina | 2–3 | 4–5 | 2.9–5.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Stanford | 2–5 | 3–7 | 2.3–5.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Florida State | 1–5 | 4–5 | 2.4–5.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Syracuse | 1–6 | 3–7 | 1.6–6.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Boston College | 0–6 | 1–9 | 0.6–7.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).
















