The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
6 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 14; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #21SMU | 6–1 | 8–3 | 6.9–1.1 | 80% | 60% | 57% |
 #18Virginia | 6–1 | 9–2 | 6.8–1.2 | 82% | 20% | 23% |
 #22Pittsburgh | 6–1 | 8–3 | 6.3–1.7 | 20% | 11% | 12% |
 #23Georgia Tech | 6–2 | 9–2 | 6.0–2.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 #12Miami | 5–2 | 9–2 | 5.7–2.3 | 11% | 7% | 33% |
 Duke | 5–2 | 6–5 | 5.7–2.3 | 6% | 2% | <1% |
 Wake Forest | 4–3 | 8–3 | 4.3–3.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Clemson | 4–4 | 6–5 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Louisville | 4–4 | 7–4 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 California | 3–4 | 6–5 | 3.1–4.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 NC State | 3–4 | 6–5 | 3.8–4.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Stanford | 3–5 | 4–7 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 North Carolina | 2–5 | 4–7 | 2.3–5.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Virginia Tech | 2–5 | 3–8 | 2.2–5.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida State | 2–6 | 5–6 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Syracuse | 1–6 | 3–8 | 1.5–6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Boston College | 0–7 | 1–10 | 0.5–7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.