The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
4 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 14; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #3Texas A&M | 7–0 | 11–0 | 7.4–0.6 | 42% | 17% | >99% |
 #4Georgia | 7–1 | 10–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 68% | 43% | 96% |
 #10Alabama | 6–1 | 9–2 | 6.8–1.2 | 77% | 36% | 59% |
 #7Ole Miss | 6–1 | 10–1 | 6.9–1.1 | 12% | 5% | 69% |
 #8Oklahoma | 5–2 | 9–2 | 5.8–2.2 | 0% | 0% | 65% |
 #16Texas | 5–2 | 8–3 | 5.6–2.4 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
 #14Vanderbilt | 5–2 | 9–2 | 5.4–2.6 | 0% | 0% | 24% |
 #19Tennessee | 4–3 | 8–3 | 4.6–3.4 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
 LSU | 3–4 | 7–4 | 3.2–4.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Missouri | 3–4 | 7–4 | 3.6–4.4 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Florida | 2–6 | 3–8 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Kentucky | 2–6 | 5–6 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Auburn | 1–6 | 5–6 | 1.2–6.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 1–6 | 5–6 | 1.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 South Carolina | 1–7 | 4–7 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Arkansas | 0–7 | 2–9 | 0.4–7.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.