The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 2 · 2025
16 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 2; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #4Georgia | 0–0 | 1–0 | 6.9–1.1 | 75% | 56% | 96% |
 #20Ole Miss | 0–0 | 1–0 | 6.3–1.7 | 46% | 21% | 53% |
 #7Texas | 0–0 | 0–1 | 5.8–2.2 | 23% | 9% | 60% |
 #22Tennessee | 0–0 | 1–0 | 5.4–2.6 | 16% | 5% | 22% |
 #21Alabama | 0–0 | 0–1 | 4.5–3.5 | 10% | 3% | 17% |
 #3LSU | 0–0 | 1–0 | 4.4–3.6 | 7% | 2% | 58% |
 #10South Carolina | 0–0 | 1–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 7% | 2% | 24% |
 #19Texas A&M | 0–0 | 1–0 | 4.4–3.6 | 6% | 1% | 10% |
 Missouri | 0–0 | 1–0 | 4.2–3.8 | 4% | <1% | 5% |
 #18Oklahoma | 0–0 | 1–0 | 3.1–4.9 | 2% | <1% | 7% |
 #13Florida | 0–0 | 1–0 | 3.2–4.8 | 2% | <1% | 11% |
 Auburn | 0–0 | 1–0 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
 Arkansas | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2.9–5.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Kentucky | 0–0 | 1–0 | 1.8–6.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Vanderbilt | 0–0 | 1–0 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 0–0 | 1–0 | 1.1–6.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.