The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
15 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 6; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #10Alabama | 1–0 | 3–1 | 6.4–1.6 | 56% | 27% | 54% |
 #4Ole Miss | 3–0 | 5–0 | 6.7–1.3 | 41% | 22% | 82% |
 #19Missouri | 1–0 | 5–0 | 4.9–3.1 | 9% | 2% | 10% |
 #16Vanderbilt | 1–0 | 5–0 | 4.4–3.6 | 5% | 1% | 8% |
 #6Texas A&M | 1–0 | 4–0 | 4.8–3.2 | 5% | 1% | 42% |
 #5Oklahoma | 1–0 | 4–0 | 3.7–4.3 | 4% | 1% | 44% |
 #12Georgia | 1–1 | 3–1 | 6.0–2.0 | 37% | 23% | 61% |
 #15Tennessee | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.9–3.1 | 5% | 2% | 14% |
 #13LSU | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.0–4.0 | 2% | <1% | 15% |
 South Carolina | 1–2 | 3–2 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 2% |
 Arkansas | 0–1 | 2–3 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Auburn | 0–2 | 3–2 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 2% |
 Florida | 0–1 | 1–3 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Kentucky | 0–2 | 2–2 | 1.2–6.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 0–1 | 4–1 | 1.2–6.8 | <1% | 0% | <1% |
 #9Texas | 0–0 | 3–1 | 6.3–1.7 | 36% | 19% | 73% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.