#10Alabama Crimson Tide
3–1 · 1–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
56%
SEC title game
27%
Win the SEC
54%
Make the playoff
19%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.0
How the week went: playoff odds 54% → 77% · title-game odds 56% → 68%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Alabama's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#16 Vanderbilt at #10 Alabama
Your game. Beat Vanderbilt and your playoff odds are 58%; lose and they drop to 34%.
Final · Vanderbilt 14–30 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
Boise State at #21 Notre Dame
Boise State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Boise State 7–28 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for Boise State+4.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#9 Texas at Florida
SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Texas 21–29 FloridaWish granted ✓
Root for Florida+4.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
James Madison at Georgia State
James Madison winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · James Madison 14–7 Georgia StateWish granted ✓
Root for James Madison+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
Ohio at Ball State
Ball State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Ohio 14–20 Ball StateWish granted ✓
Root for Ball State+2.0 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.