#17Alabama Crimson Tide
2–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
30%
SEC title game
14%
Win the SEC
34%
Make the playoff
8%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.0
How the week went: playoff odds 34% → 54% · title-game odds 30% → 56%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Alabama's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#17 Alabama at #5 Georgia
Your game. Beat Georgia and your playoff odds are 50%; lose and they drop to 27%.
Final · Alabama 24–21 GeorgiaWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; LSU visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · LSU 19–24 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+6.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#22 Notre Dame at Arkansas
Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Notre Dame 56–13 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Auburn at #9 Texas A&M
Auburn visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Auburn 10–16 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · NBC
#6 Oregon at #3 Penn State
Penn State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon 30–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina
South Carolina visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Kentucky 13–35 South CarolinaWish granted ✓
Root for South Carolina+1.5 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.