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#4Alabama Crimson Tide

6–1 · 4–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
87%
SEC title game
44%
Win the SEC
>99%
Make the playoff
59%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.1
How the week went: playoff odds >99% → >99% · title-game odds 87% → 90%.
Playoff odds by week
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The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Alabama's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#4 Alabama at South Carolina

Your game. You're essentially in — this is about seeding: win and you're looking at roughly the 4th seed, lose and it's closer to the 5th.

Final · Alabama 29–22 South CarolinaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · FS1
Wisconsin at #6 Oregon

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Wisconsin winning protects it; you beat Wisconsin — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Wisconsin 7–21 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+10.6 pp first-round-bye odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #20 LSU

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and LSU winning protects it; LSU visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Final · Texas A&M 49–25 LSUWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+5.5 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
#8 Ole Miss at #13 Oklahoma

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Oklahoma winning protects it; Oklahoma visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Ole Miss 34–26 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Oklahoma+2.2 pp first-round-bye odds
49 more games that don't move your needle
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9).