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#6Alabama Crimson Tide

5–1 · 3–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
78%
SEC title game
37%
Win the SEC
80%
Make the playoff
41%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.0
How the week went: playoff odds 80% → 88% · title-game odds 78% → 87%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678

If Alabama wins out: 49% to win the SEC, 99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Alabama's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#11 Tennessee at #6 Alabama

Your game. Beat Tennessee and your playoff odds are 85%; lose and they drop to 63%.

Final · Tennessee 20–37 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.9 pp title-game odds
…
… · SEC Network
#16 Missouri at Auburn

You already beat Missouri; them losing again keeps them behind you; Auburn visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Missouri 23–17 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
#1 Ohio State at Wisconsin

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Wisconsin winning protects it; you beat Wisconsin — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Ohio State 34–0 WisconsinWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+3.0 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
#5 Ole Miss at #9 Georgia

SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Georgia — their wins make your résumé stronger; Georgia visits your schedule in week 15 — keep them ranked.

Final · Ole Miss 35–43 GeorgiaWish granted ✓
Root for Georgia+2.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Central Michigan at Bowling Green

Central Michigan winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Central Michigan 27–6 Bowling GreenWish granted ✓
Root for Central Michigan+1.5 pp playoff odds
53 more games that don't move your needle
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.