The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
13 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #6Alabama | 3–0 | 5–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 77% | 36% | 98% |
 #5Ole Miss | 3–0 | 6–0 | 6.8–1.2 | 40% | 21% | 99% |
 #4Texas A&M | 3–0 | 6–0 | 5.6–2.4 | 11% | 4% | 93% |
 #9Georgia | 3–1 | 5–1 | 6.2–1.8 | 42% | 26% | 99% |
 #11Tennessee | 2–1 | 5–1 | 5.1–2.9 | 6% | 2% | 8% |
 #10LSU | 2–1 | 5–1 | 4.4–3.6 | 3% | <1% | 20% |
 #21Texas | 1–1 | 4–2 | 5.7–2.3 | 14% | 8% | 8% |
 #16Missouri | 1–1 | 5–1 | 4.6–3.4 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
 #14Oklahoma | 1–1 | 5–1 | 3.3–4.7 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
 #17Vanderbilt | 1–1 | 5–1 | 4.1–3.9 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Florida | 1–2 | 2–4 | 2.9–5.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 South Carolina | 1–3 | 3–3 | 2.1–5.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Arkansas | 0–2 | 2–4 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 0–2 | 4–2 | 0.8–7.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Auburn | 0–3 | 3–3 | 2.3–5.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Kentucky | 0–3 | 2–3 | 1.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8).