The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
12 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #6Alabama | 3–0 | 5–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 78% | 37% | 80% |
 #5Ole Miss | 3–0 | 6–0 | 6.7–1.3 | 40% | 21% | 80% |
 #4Texas A&M | 3–0 | 6–0 | 5.5–2.5 | 10% | 3% | 64% |
 #9Georgia | 3–1 | 5–1 | 6.2–1.8 | 44% | 27% | 81% |
 #11Tennessee | 2–1 | 5–1 | 5.1–2.9 | 6% | 2% | 28% |
 #10LSU | 2–1 | 5–1 | 4.3–3.7 | 3% | <1% | 32% |
 #21Texas | 1–1 | 4–2 | 5.6–2.4 | 14% | 7% | 19% |
 #16Missouri | 1–1 | 5–1 | 4.5–3.5 | 3% | <1% | 18% |
 #14Oklahoma | 1–1 | 5–1 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | 15% |
 #17Vanderbilt | 1–1 | 5–1 | 4.1–3.9 | 1% | <1% | 11% |
 Florida | 1–2 | 2–4 | 2.9–5.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 South Carolina | 1–3 | 3–3 | 2.1–5.9 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
 Arkansas | 0–2 | 2–4 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Auburn | 0–3 | 3–3 | 2.3–5.7 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
 Kentucky | 0–3 | 2–3 | 1.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 0–2 | 4–2 | 0.9–7.1 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.