The Big 12 race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
14 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #7Texas Tech | 3–0 | 6–0 | 7.8–1.2 | 81% | 54% | 70% |
 #15BYU | 3–0 | 6–0 | 6.2–2.8 | 30% | 12% | 17% |
 #24Cincinnati | 3–0 | 5–1 | 6.0–3.0 | 17% | 4% | 4% |
 #23Utah | 2–1 | 5–1 | 6.0–3.0 | 33% | 16% | 18% |
 Arizona State | 2–1 | 4–2 | 5.6–3.4 | 12% | 4% | 3% |
 Baylor | 2–1 | 4–2 | 5.0–4.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% |
 Houston | 2–1 | 5–1 | 4.5–4.5 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
 Kansas State | 2–2 | 3–4 | 4.9–4.1 | 4% | 2% | 3% |
 Iowa State | 2–2 | 5–2 | 4.9–4.1 | 3% | 1% | 1% |
 Kansas | 2–2 | 4–3 | 4.9–4.1 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 TCU | 1–2 | 4–2 | 5.2–3.8 | 9% | 4% | 6% |
 Arizona | 1–2 | 4–2 | 3.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado | 1–3 | 3–4 | 3.6–5.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 UCF | 0–3 | 3–3 | 3.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Oklahoma State | 0–3 | 1–5 | 0.3–8.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 West Virginia | 0–3 | 2–4 | 1.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.