The Big 12 race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
4 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 14; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #5Texas Tech | 7–1 | 10–1 | 8.0–1.0 | 97% | 75% | 91% |
 #11BYU | 7–1 | 10–1 | 7.9–1.1 | 94% | 22% | 34% |
 #13Utah | 6–2 | 9–2 | 6.9–2.1 | 2% | 2% | 28% |
 #20Arizona State | 6–2 | 8–3 | 6.6–2.4 | 6% | <1% | 6% |
 #25Arizona | 5–3 | 8–3 | 5.4–3.6 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Cincinnati | 5–3 | 7–4 | 5.3–3.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Houston | 5–3 | 8–3 | 5.3–3.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Iowa State | 4–4 | 7–4 | 4.9–4.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Kansas State | 4–4 | 5–6 | 4.9–4.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 TCU | 4–4 | 7–4 | 4.7–4.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Baylor | 3–5 | 5–6 | 3.7–5.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Kansas | 3–5 | 5–6 | 3.1–5.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 UCF | 2–6 | 5–6 | 2.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 West Virginia | 2–6 | 4–7 | 2.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Colorado | 1–7 | 3–8 | 1.1–7.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Oklahoma State | 0–8 | 1–10 | 0.1–8.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.