The Big 12 race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
15 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 7; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #9Texas Tech | 2–0 | 5–0 | 7.2–1.8 | 57% | 35% | 51% |
 #21Arizona State | 2–0 | 4–1 | 6.7–2.3 | 44% | 22% | 21% |
 #18BYU | 2–0 | 5–0 | 6.0–3.0 | 26% | 12% | 14% |
 Cincinnati | 2–0 | 4–1 | 5.5–3.5 | 11% | 3% | 2% |
 Kansas | 2–1 | 4–2 | 5.5–3.5 | 9% | 4% | 4% |
 #22Iowa State | 2–1 | 5–1 | 5.2–3.8 | 9% | 3% | 5% |
 Baylor | 2–1 | 4–2 | 5.1–3.9 | 6% | 2% | 2% |
 TCU | 1–1 | 4–1 | 6.0–3.0 | 23% | 12% | 13% |
 Utah | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.9–4.1 | 11% | 5% | 6% |
 Houston | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Arizona | 1–1 | 4–1 | 3.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Kansas State | 1–2 | 2–4 | 4.3–4.7 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
 UCF | 0–2 | 3–2 | 3.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado | 0–3 | 2–4 | 3.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 West Virginia | 0–3 | 2–4 | 1.0–8.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Oklahoma State | 0–2 | 1–4 | 0.6–8.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.