The Sun Belt race
14 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
14 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 7; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Madison | 2–0 | 4–1 | 6.4–1.6 | 51% | 36% | 13% |
 Old Dominion | 1–0 | 4–1 | 6.3–1.7 | 37% | 26% | 8% |
 Troy | 1–0 | 3–2 | 5.3–2.7 | 37% | 11% | <1% |
 Louisiana | 1–0 | 2–3 | 4.3–3.7 | 13% | 3% | <1% |
 Southern Miss | 1–0 | 3–2 | 3.6–4.4 | 6% | <1% | <1% |
 UL Monroe | 1–0 | 3–2 | 2.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Arkansas State | 1–1 | 2–4 | 3.0–5.0 | 3% | <1% | 0% |
 Coastal Carolina | 1–1 | 2–3 | 3.1–4.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Texas State | 0–1 | 3–2 | 5.0–3.0 | 37% | 16% | 4% |
 Marshall | 0–1 | 2–3 | 4.5–3.5 | 10% | 6% | <1% |
 South Alabama | 0–2 | 1–5 | 4.0–4.0 | 5% | 1% | <1% |
 App State | 0–1 | 3–2 | 3.3–4.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Georgia Southern | 0–1 | 2–3 | 3.6–4.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Georgia State | 0–1 | 1–4 | 1.5–6.5 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.