The Big Ten race
18 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
14 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 7; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #1Ohio State | 2–0 | 5–0 | 8.1–0.9 | 68% | 42% | >99% |
 #3Oregon | 2–0 | 5–0 | 7.8–1.2 | 64% | 32% | 89% |
 #7Indiana | 2–0 | 5–0 | 7.5–1.5 | 35% | 16% | 78% |
 #15Michigan | 2–0 | 4–1 | 7.0–2.0 | 23% | 6% | 19% |
 USC | 2–1 | 4–1 | 6.1–2.9 | 5% | 2% | 8% |
 #17Illinois | 2–1 | 5–1 | 4.8–4.2 | <1% | <1% | 3% |
 Iowa | 1–1 | 3–2 | 4.6–4.4 | <1% | <1% | 4% |
 Washington | 1–1 | 4–1 | 5.0–4.0 | 1% | <1% | 2% |
 Nebraska | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.8–4.2 | <1% | <1% | 4% |
 Maryland | 1–1 | 4–1 | 3.9–5.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Minnesota | 1–1 | 3–2 | 4.4–4.6 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Northwestern | 1–1 | 3–2 | 2.8–6.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 UCLA | 1–1 | 1–4 | 2.2–6.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Penn State | 0–2 | 3–2 | 5.4–3.6 | 2% | 1% | 22% |
 Michigan State | 0–2 | 3–2 | 1.5–7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Purdue | 0–2 | 2–3 | 0.8–8.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Rutgers | 0–2 | 3–2 | 2.3–6.7 | <1% | 0% | <1% |
 Wisconsin | 0–2 | 2–3 | 1.9–7.1 | <1% | 0% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.