#3Oregon Ducks
5–0 · 2–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
64%
Big Ten title game
32%
Win the Big Ten
89%
Make the playoff
54%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.2
How the week went: playoff odds 89% → 78% · title-game odds 64% → 23%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
…
… · CBS
#7 Indiana at #3 Oregon
Your game. Beat Indiana and your playoff odds are 94%; lose and they drop to 82%.
Final · Indiana 30–20 OregonWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · FOX
#1 Ohio State at #17 Illinois
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Ohio State 34–16 IllinoisWent the other way ✗
Root for Illinois+9.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
#15 Michigan at USC
Big Ten race: Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings; USC visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Michigan 13–31 USCWish granted ✓
Root for USC+4.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#8 Alabama at #14 Missouri
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Missouri winning protects it.
Final · Alabama 27–24 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+2.6 pp first-round-bye odds
52 more games that don't move your needle
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State · FS1
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.