#4Oregon Ducks
2–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
43%
Big Ten title game
21%
Win the Big Ten
89%
Make the playoff
45%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.7
How the week went: playoff odds 89% → 81% · title-game odds 43% → 37%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
#4 Oregon at Northwestern
Your game. Beat Northwestern and your playoff odds are 90%; lose and they drop to 78%.
Final · Oregon 34–14 NorthwesternWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
#16 Texas A&M at #8 Notre Dame
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Texas A&M winning protects it.
Final · Texas A&M 41–40 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Root for Texas A&M+5.7 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · CBS
USC at Purdue
Big Ten race: USC losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play USC in week 13.
Final · USC 33–17 PurdueWent the other way ✗
Root for Purdue+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#6 Georgia at #15 Tennessee
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Tennessee winning protects it.
Final · Georgia 44–41 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Root for Tennessee+2.3 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · Peacock
Ohio at #1 Ohio State
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Ohio winning protects it.
Final · Ohio 9–37 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Ohio+2.3 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
Wisconsin at #19 Alabama
Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Wisconsin 14–38 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+1.2 pp playoff odds
41 more games that don't move your needle
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss · ESPN
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.