#7Oregon Ducks
9–1 · 6–1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
11%
Big Ten title game
5%
Win the Big Ten
98%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.7
How the week went: playoff odds 98% → 98% · title-game odds 11% → 14%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
…
… · CBS
#15 USC at #7 Oregon
Your game. Beat USC and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 92%.
Final · USC 27–42 OregonWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · FOX
Rutgers at #1 Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Rutgers — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Rutgers 9–42 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+51.8 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#22 Missouri at #8 Oklahoma
Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Missouri 6–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · NBC
Syracuse at #9 Notre Dame
Syracuse winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Syracuse 7–70 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+1.9 pp playoff odds
56 more games that don't move your needle
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13).