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#7Oregon Ducks

9–1 · 6–1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
12%
Big Ten title game
5%
Win the Big Ten
70%
Make the playoff
13%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.6
How the week went: playoff odds 70% → 77% · title-game odds 12% → 15%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Oregon wins out: 8% to win the Big Ten, 91% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Oregon's path
Your game
…
… · CBS
#15 USC at #7 Oregon

Your game. Beat USC and your playoff odds are 80%; lose and they drop to 34%.

Final · USC 27–42 OregonWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · FOX
Rutgers at #1 Ohio State

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Rutgers — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Rutgers 9–42 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+50.4 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Kansas State at #12 Utah

Kansas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Kansas State 47–51 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas State+3.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#22 Missouri at #8 Oklahoma

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Missouri 6–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+3.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Kentucky at #14 Vanderbilt

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Kentucky 17–45 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Cincinnati

Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for Cincinnati+2.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#13 Miami at Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Miami 34–17 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · NBC
Washington at UCLA

Washington visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Washington 48–14 UCLAWish granted ✓
Root for Washington+1.8 pp playoff odds
52 more games that don't move your needle
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.