Oregon Ducks
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
34%
Big Ten title game
13%
Win the Big Ten
70%
Make the playoff
24%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.9
Odds shown as of week 1 — precise rooting leverage exists only once the games in between are played.
If Oregon wins out: 41% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.
Championship week
matchups are decided by the standingsBig Ten Championship GameSat, Dec 5 · Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
IndianavsOregonYou're in this one21%
IndianavsOhio State18%
IndianavsPenn State14%
IndianavsIowa9%
Ohio StatevsOregonYou're in this one5%
Win it and you're in: the five highest-ranked conference champions get automatic playoff bids. Oregon plays in this game in 34% of the way-too-early sims.
The matchup gets scheduled once the regular season decides it — this page becomes the real game preview automatically. Week 14 kickoff windows and TV land with it.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.