Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Way too early

WEEK 13 · 2026

34%

Big Ten title game

13%

Win the Big Ten

70%

Make the playoff

24%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.9

Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-13 job: beat Washington.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

If Oregon wins out: 41% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Oregon's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 28

Washington at Oregon

Your game. Beat Washington and your playoff odds are 79%; lose and they drop to 41%.

Oregon 77%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 28

Purdue at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

Indiana 99%

TBD

SAT NOV 28

Michigan at Ohio State

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Ohio State 85%

TBD

SAT NOV 28

Penn State at Maryland

Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 83%

TBD

SAT NOV 28

USC at UCLA

UCLA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 81%

TBD

SAT NOV 28

LSU at Arkansas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Arkansas 52%

TBD

SAT NOV 28

Georgia Tech at Georgia

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Georgia Tech winning protects it.

Georgia 93%

TBD

SAT NOV 28

Auburn at Alabama

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Alabama 75%

TBD

FRI NOV 27

Nebraska at Iowa

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.

Iowa 86%

54 more games that don't move your needle

TCU at Texas Tech · ESPN

Michigan State at Rutgers

Texas at Texas A&M · ABC

Kent State at Eastern Michigan

Miami (OH) at Western Michigan

Florida Atlantic at East Carolina

Temple at Memphis

Tulane at South Florida

Buffalo at Akron

Toledo at Ohio

Mississippi State at Ole Miss · ABC

App State at South Alabama

Florida at Florida State · ABC

Louisville at Kentucky

Oklahoma at Missouri

South Carolina at Clemson

Tennessee at Vanderbilt

Arizona State at Arizona

Baylor at Houston

UCF at Colorado

Cincinnati at BYU

Kansas at Oklahoma State

Kansas State at Iowa State

West Virginia at Utah

Boston College at Miami

Duke at Wake Forest

NC State at North Carolina

Notre Dame at Syracuse

Pittsburgh at California

SMU at Stanford

Virginia at Virginia Tech

Northwestern at Illinois

Minnesota at Wisconsin

UConn at Wyoming

Tulsa at UTSA

Army at Rice

Navy at Charlotte

UAB at North Texas

Air Force at New Mexico

Nevada at UNLV

UTEP at Northern Illinois

Central Michigan at Ball State

Massachusetts at Bowling Green

Troy at Arkansas State

Coastal Carolina at James Madison

Louisiana Tech at Georgia Southern

Louisiana at Georgia State

Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky

Jacksonville State at Delaware

Liberty at Missouri State

Sam Houston at Florida International

New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee

Marshall at UL Monroe

Southern Miss at Old Dominion

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.