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Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 9 · 2026
34%
Big Ten title game
13%
Win the Big Ten
70%
Make the playoff
24%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-9 job: beat Northwestern.
Playoff odds by week
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If Oregon wins out: 41% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Oregon's path
Your game
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Northwestern at Oregon

Your game. Beat Northwestern and your playoff odds are 73%; lose and they drop to 47%.

Oregon 90%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Ohio State at USC

Ohio State visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Ohio State 62%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Minnesota at Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

Indiana 97%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Michigan at Rutgers

Michigan visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Michigan 66%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Navy at Notre Dame

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Navy winning protects it.

Notre Dame 96%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Washington at Nebraska

Washington visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Washington 65%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Arizona at Texas Tech

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arizona winning protects it.

Texas Tech 85%
TBD
SAT OCT 31
Wisconsin at Iowa

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings.

Iowa 88%
46 more games that don't move your needle
Auburn at Ole Miss
Delaware at Western Kentucky
Sam Houston at Missouri State
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Troy at James Madison
Tulane at Charlotte
Missouri at Arkansas
Florida at Georgia
South Carolina at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at Texas
Arizona State at BYU
Baylor at UCF
Kansas at TCU
Kansas State at Colorado
Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Utah at Cincinnati
California at NC State
SMU at Syracuse
Boston College at Duke
Clemson at Florida State
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Miami at North Carolina
Stanford at Louisville
Virginia at Wake Forest
Illinois at Maryland
Purdue at Penn State
Nevada at UCLA
Texas State at Boise State
Washington State at San Diego State
Colorado State at Utah State
Oregon State at Fresno State
UConn at Air Force
Army at Memphis
Temple at East Carolina
UAB at South Florida
New Mexico at San José State
Northern Illinois at UNLV
Bowling Green at Western Michigan
App State at Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Florida International at Liberty
Southern Miss at UL Monroe
Marshall at Old Dominion
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.