🏈 Fan Watch

#20Oregon Ducks

2–1 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2026
Week 4 pregame guide

Oregon opens Big Ten play at USC without its leading receiver

McClellan broke his foot in warmups, Messiah Hampton answered against Portland State, and now a thinned Oregon offense has to hold up in the Coliseum.

Read the rooting guide →
Oregon quarterback Dante Moore holds a challenge coin at Autzen Stadium.
Oregon quarterback Dante Moore at Autzen Stadium.
CreditPhoto creditNational Guard photo by John Hughel, Oregon Military Department Public AffairsWikimedia Commons · Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Oregon at USC
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NBC
Final
Oregon
Final · Oregon 41–27 USCWish granted ✓
USC

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Oregon wanted
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FOX
Impact 1
Rooted for
Northwestern
at
Indiana
Final · Northwestern 23–29 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.6-point title-game boost

Indiana won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Northwestern won14% with the other result4.6-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
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FOX
Impact 2
Rooted for
Illinois
at
Ohio State
Final · Illinois 19–42 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.9-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Oregon did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Illinois won14% with the other result3.9-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
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ERADM
Impact 3
Rooted for
Wisconsin
at
Penn State
Final · Wisconsin 24–20 Penn StateWish granted ✓
Projected 2.5-point title-game boost

Penn State lost, improving Oregon's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection16% if Wisconsin won14% with the other result2.5-point differenceOregon Big Ten title-game chance
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BTN
Impact 4
Rooted for
UCLA
at
Maryland
Final · UCLA 54–3 MarylandWish granted ✓
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

UCLA won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 6 game against Oregon.

Entering-week projection23% if UCLA won22% with the other result1.5-point differenceOregon playoff chance
53 other games had little impact
Iowa at Michigan · CBS
Liberty at Coastal Carolina · ESPN
Army at Temple · ESPN
Navy at UAB · ESPN
Clemson at California · ESPN
Texas at Tennessee · ABC
Sam Houston at Texas Tech · TNT
Colorado at Baylor · ESPN2
Virginia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Louisville · ESPN
San Diego State at Toledo · CBSSN
Colorado State at UTSA · ESPNU
UNLV at Akron · ESPN+
Ball State at Kent State · ESPN+
South Alabama at Kentucky · SEC Network
Notre Dame at Purdue · Peacock
Northern Illinois at Georgia State · ESPN+
Hawai'i at Wyoming · The CW Network
Ole Miss at Florida · ABC
Oklahoma at Georgia · ESPN
TCU at UCF · FS1
Utah at Iowa State · FOX
Boise State at Western Michigan · ESPN2
UConn at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
New Mexico at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Houston at Georgia Southern · ESPNU
Vanderbilt at Auburn · SEC Network
Nebraska at Michigan State · BTN
South Florida at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Delaware at Virginia · ACC Network
James Madison at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Miami · The CW Network
Louisiana at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Carolina at Alabama · ESPN
Kansas State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at West Virginia · FS1
Southern Miss at Tulane · ESPN+
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Arizona at Washington State · CBS
Troy at Utah State · CBSSN
App State at NC State · ESPNU
Missouri at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Tulsa at Arkansas · SECN+
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Missouri State at SMU · ACC Network
Oregon State at UTEP · MW+
Massachusetts at Sacramento State · ESPN+
Rice at Fresno State · The CW Network
Georgia Tech at Stanford · ESPN
Air Force at Nevada · FS1
Minnesota at Washington · FOX
The rooting list was:Oregon, then Northwestern, Illinois, Wisconsin, UCLA.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.