Oregon Ducks
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
39%
Big Ten title game
18%
Win the Big Ten
>99%
Make the playoff
30%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.2
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat UCLA.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
UCLA at Oregon
Your game. Beat UCLA and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 96%.
Oregon 98%
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Indiana at Nebraska
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Nebraska visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Indiana 92%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Maryland at Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 10.
Ohio State 98%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
USC at Penn State
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Penn State 66%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Georgia at Alabama
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Alabama winning protects it.
Georgia 58%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Iowa at Washington
Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings; Washington visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Iowa 55%
50 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico State at Florida International
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
South Florida at UTSA
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Ball State at Northwestern
Minnesota at Purdue
Boise State at Fresno State
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Charlotte at North Texas
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.