Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Way too early

WEEK 2 · 2026

39%

Big Ten title game

18%

Win the Big Ten

>99%

Make the playoff

30%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.2

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-2 job: beat Oklahoma State.

Playoff odds by week

1 2

If Oregon wins out: 52% to win the Big Ten, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Oregon's path

Your game

TBD

SAT SEP 12

Oregon at Oklahoma State

Your game. Beat Oklahoma State and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 97%.

Oregon 98%

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

TBD

SAT SEP 12

Texas Tech at Oregon State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Oregon State winning protects it.

Texas Tech 98%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

…

… · ABC

Ohio State at Texas

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Texas winning protects it; you still play Ohio State in week 10.

Ohio State 71%

TBD

SAT SEP 12

Western Kentucky at Georgia

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Western Kentucky winning protects it.

Georgia 97%

TBD

SAT SEP 12

Georgia Southern at Clemson

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Clemson winning protects it.

Clemson 93%

42 more games that don't move your needle

Rutgers at Boston College

Arkansas at Utah

Southern Miss at Auburn

Alabama at Kentucky

Charlotte at Ole Miss

Mississippi State at Minnesota

Missouri at Kansas

Oklahoma at Michigan

Tennessee at Georgia Tech

Arizona State at Texas A&M

Delaware at Vanderbilt

Washington State at Kansas State

Iowa State at Iowa

UCF at Pittsburgh

Arizona at BYU

California at Syracuse

Duke at Illinois

Old Dominion at Virginia Tech

Wake Forest at Purdue

Eastern Michigan at Michigan State

Bowling Green at Nebraska

Penn State at Temple

San Diego State at UCLA

Maryland at UConn

Louisiana at USC

Utah State at Washington

Memphis at Boise State

UTSA at Texas State

South Florida at Army

Navy at Florida Atlantic

UNLV at North Texas

Tulsa at Sam Houston

UL Monroe at UAB

App State at East Carolina

South Alabama at Tulane

New Mexico State at Hawai'i

Buffalo at Florida International

Jacksonville State at Ohio

Louisiana Tech at LSU

Georgia State at Kennesaw State

Middle Tennessee at Marshall

Rice at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.