Oregon Ducks
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 2 · 2026
34%
Big Ten title game
13%
Win the Big Ten
70%
Make the playoff
24%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-2 job: beat Oklahoma State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Oregon at Oklahoma State
Your game. Beat Oklahoma State and your playoff odds are 71%; lose and they drop to 53%.
Oregon 96%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Southern Miss at Auburn
Southern Miss winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Auburn 94%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Mississippi State at Minnesota
Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Minnesota 62%
…
… · ABC
Ohio State at Texas
Ohio State visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Ohio State 54%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Duke at Illinois
Illinois visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Illinois 65%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Maryland at UConn
Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
UConn 75%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Oklahoma at Michigan
Michigan visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Michigan 56%
40 more games that don't move your needle
Rutgers at Boston College
Arkansas at Utah
Western Kentucky at Georgia
Alabama at Kentucky
Charlotte at Ole Miss
Missouri at Kansas
Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Arizona State at Texas A&M
Delaware at Vanderbilt
Washington State at Kansas State
Texas Tech at Oregon State
Iowa State at Iowa
UCF at Pittsburgh
Arizona at BYU
California at Syracuse
Georgia Southern at Clemson
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech
Wake Forest at Purdue
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Bowling Green at Nebraska
Penn State at Temple
San Diego State at UCLA
Louisiana at USC
Utah State at Washington
Memphis at Boise State
UTSA at Texas State
South Florida at Army
Navy at Florida Atlantic
UNLV at North Texas
Tulsa at Sam Houston
UL Monroe at UAB
App State at East Carolina
South Alabama at Tulane
New Mexico State at Hawai'i
Buffalo at Florida International
Jacksonville State at Ohio
Louisiana Tech at LSU
Georgia State at Kennesaw State
Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Rice at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.