Oregon Ducks

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Way too early

WEEK 3 · 2026

39%

Big Ten title game

18%

Win the Big Ten

>99%

Make the playoff

30%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.2

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-3 job: beat Portland State.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3

If Oregon wins out: 52% to win the Big Ten, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Oregon's path

Your game

TBD

Portland State at Oregon

Your game. Just win — and don't let it get interesting.

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Houston at Texas Tech

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Houston winning protects it.

Texas Tech 96%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Kent State at Ohio State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Kent State winning protects it; you still play Ohio State in week 10.

Ohio State 100%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Western Kentucky at Indiana

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Western Kentucky winning protects it.

Indiana 98%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Georgia at Arkansas

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arkansas winning protects it.

Georgia 87%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Purdue at UCLA

Big Ten race: Purdue losing helps your spot in the standings; UCLA visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.

UCLA 69%

51 more games that don't move your needle

Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin

Syracuse at Pittsburgh

Miami at Wake Forest

Florida State at Alabama

Florida at Auburn

Troy at Missouri

New Mexico at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at South Carolina

Kennesaw State at Tennessee

UTSA at Texas

Kentucky at Texas A&M

NC State at Vanderbilt

Tulane at Kansas State

Northern Illinois at Arizona

BYU at Colorado State

Colorado at Northwestern

Miami (OH) at Cincinnati

Bowling Green at Iowa State

Arkansas State at TCU

Georgia State at UCF

Utah State at Utah

Virginia at West Virginia

Kansas at Arizona State

North Carolina at Clemson

SMU at Louisville

Stanford at Duke

Virginia Tech at Maryland

UTEP at Michigan

Akron at Minnesota

Buffalo at Penn State

USC at Rutgers

James Madison at San Diego State

Fresno State at San José State

North Texas at Texas State

UConn at Southern Miss

East Carolina at Old Dominion

Florida International at Florida Atlantic

Western Michigan at Rice

Temple at Toledo

UAB at Louisiana

Nevada at Middle Tennessee

Wyoming at Central Michigan

Charlotte at App State

Ball State at Liberty

Ohio at South Alabama

Louisiana Tech at Baylor

Coastal Carolina at Delaware

Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State

Marshall at Missouri State

LSU at Ole Miss · ABC

Michigan State at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.