Oregon Ducks
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 3 · 2026
34%
Big Ten title game
13%
Win the Big Ten
70%
Make the playoff
24%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.9
Way-too-early read: preseason ratings, while rosters are still settling. The week-3 job: beat Portland State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
TBD
Portland State at Oregon
Your game. Just win — and don't let it get interesting.
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
…
Michigan State at Notre Dame
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Michigan State winning protects it; Michigan State visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Notre Dame 98%
TBD
SAT SEP 19
BYU at Colorado State
Colorado State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
BYU 87%
TBD
SAT SEP 19
Purdue at UCLA
Big Ten race: Purdue losing helps your spot in the standings; UCLA visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.
UCLA 68%
53 more games that don't move your needle
Stanford at Duke
Florida at Auburn
Syracuse at Pittsburgh
Miami at Wake Forest
Florida State at Alabama
Georgia at Arkansas
Troy at Missouri
New Mexico at Oklahoma
Mississippi State at South Carolina
Kennesaw State at Tennessee
UTSA at Texas
Kentucky at Texas A&M
NC State at Vanderbilt
Tulane at Kansas State
Northern Illinois at Arizona
Colorado at Northwestern
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati
Bowling Green at Iowa State
Arkansas State at TCU
Georgia State at UCF
Utah State at Utah
Virginia at West Virginia
Houston at Texas Tech
Kansas at Arizona State
North Carolina at Clemson
SMU at Louisville
Virginia Tech at Maryland
Western Kentucky at Indiana
UTEP at Michigan
Akron at Minnesota
Kent State at Ohio State
Buffalo at Penn State
USC at Rutgers
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin
James Madison at San Diego State
Fresno State at San José State
North Texas at Texas State
UConn at Southern Miss
East Carolina at Old Dominion
Florida International at Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan at Rice
Temple at Toledo
UAB at Louisiana
Nevada at Middle Tennessee
Wyoming at Central Michigan
Charlotte at App State
Ball State at Liberty
Ohio at South Alabama
Louisiana Tech at Baylor
Coastal Carolina at Delaware
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State
Marshall at Missouri State
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.