#6Oregon Ducks
3–0 · 1–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
37%
Big Ten title game
15%
Win the Big Ten
81%
Make the playoff
36%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.2
How the week went: playoff odds 81% → 84% · title-game odds 37% → 33%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Oregon's pathYour game
…
… · BTN
Oregon State at #6 Oregon
Your game. Beat Oregon State and your playoff odds are 81%; lose and they drop to 63%.
Final · Oregon State 7–41 OregonWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBS
#21 Michigan at Nebraska
Big Ten race: Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Michigan 30–27 NebraskaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nebraska+3.6 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Florida at Miami · ABC
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.