🏈 Fan Watch
How to watch

#8Oregon Ducks

5–1 · 2–1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
23%
Big Ten title game
11%
Win the Big Ten
98%
Make the playoff
23%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.1
How the week went: playoff odds 98% → >99% · title-game odds 23% → 29%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678

If Oregon wins out: 28% to win the Big Ten, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Oregon's path
Your game
…
… · BTN
#8 Oregon at Rutgers

Your game. Beat Rutgers and your playoff odds are 98%; lose and they drop to 92%.

Final · Oregon 56–10 RutgersWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · CBS
#1 Ohio State at Wisconsin

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · Ohio State 34–0 WisconsinWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+23.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · Peacock
Michigan State at #3 Indiana

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Indiana losing softens the sting of your loss to them.

Final · Michigan State 13–38 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Michigan State+19.5 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Louisville at #2 Miami

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Louisville winning protects it.

Final · Louisville 24–21 MiamiWish granted ✓
Root for Louisville+6.3 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
#11 Tennessee at #6 Alabama

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Tennessee winning protects it.

Final · Tennessee 20–37 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Tennessee+3.6 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · Peacock
Penn State at Iowa

Big Ten race: Iowa losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Penn State — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Iowa in week 11.

Final · Penn State 24–25 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame

USC visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for USC+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#7 Texas Tech at Arizona State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arizona State winning protects it.

Final · Texas Tech 22–26 Arizona StateWish granted ✓
Root for Arizona State+2.2 pp first-round-bye odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8).