The Mountain West race
12 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
12 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 7; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise State | 1–0 | 3–2 | 6.4–1.6 | 68% | 42% | 16% |
 UNLV | 1–0 | 5–0 | 6.4–1.6 | 71% | 38% | 11% |
 Fresno State | 2–0 | 5–1 | 5.6–2.4 | 24% | 9% | 1% |
 San Diego State | 1–0 | 4–1 | 4.9–3.1 | 14% | 5% | <1% |
 San José State | 1–0 | 2–3 | 4.9–3.1 | 12% | 3% | <1% |
 Utah State | 1–0 | 3–2 | 4.2–3.8 | 7% | 2% | <1% |
 Hawai'i | 1–1 | 4–2 | 3.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 New Mexico | 0–1 | 3–2 | 3.5–4.5 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
 Wyoming | 0–1 | 2–3 | 3.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado State | 0–1 | 1–4 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Nevada | 0–1 | 1–4 | 1.8–6.2 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Air Force | 0–3 | 1–4 | 2.1–5.9 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.