The Mid-American race
13 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
13 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 7; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami (OH) | 1–0 | 2–3 | 5.6–2.4 | 43% | 19% | <1% |
 Buffalo | 2–0 | 3–3 | 5.7–2.3 | 30% | 11% | <1% |
 Western Michigan | 2–0 | 3–3 | 4.8–3.2 | 13% | 3% | 0% |
 Ball State | 1–0 | 2–3 | 3.7–4.3 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 Ohio | 1–1 | 3–3 | 5.8–2.2 | 51% | 33% | 3% |
 Toledo | 1–1 | 3–2 | 5.8–2.2 | 38% | 24% | 3% |
 Central Michigan | 1–1 | 3–3 | 3.2–4.8 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Akron | 1–1 | 2–4 | 2.9–5.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Bowling Green | 0–1 | 2–3 | 5.3–2.7 | 18% | 7% | <1% |
 Northern Illinois | 0–1 | 1–4 | 4.3–3.7 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Eastern Michigan | 0–2 | 1–5 | 2.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Massachusetts | 0–1 | 0–5 | 1.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Kent State | 0–1 | 1–4 | 1.0–7.0 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.