The Mid-American race
13 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 15 · 2025
The title game is set: Western Michigan vs Miami (OH).
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 15; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Western MichiganClinched | 7–1 | 8–4 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 43% | 0% |
 Miami (OH)Clinched | 6–2 | 7–5 | 6.0–2.0 | 100% | 57% | <1% |
 Ohio | 6–2 | 8–4 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Toledo | 6–2 | 8–4 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Central Michigan | 5–3 | 7–5 | 5.0–3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Akron | 4–4 | 5–7 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Buffalo | 4–4 | 5–7 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Kent State | 4–4 | 5–7 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Ball State | 3–5 | 4–8 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Eastern Michigan | 3–5 | 4–8 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Bowling Green | 2–6 | 4–8 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Northern Illinois | 2–6 | 3–9 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Massachusetts | 0–8 | 0–12 | 0.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15). How the model works.