The American Athletic race
14 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 15 · 2025
The title game is set: North Texas vs Tulane.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 15; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #24North TexasClinched | 7–1 | 11–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 72% | 60% |
 #20TulaneClinched | 7–1 | 10–2 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 28% | 27% |
 Navy | 7–1 | 9–2 | 7.0–1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 East Carolina | 6–2 | 8–4 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 South Florida | 6–2 | 9–3 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Army | 4–4 | 6–5 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Memphis | 4–4 | 8–4 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 UTSA | 4–4 | 6–6 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida Atlantic | 3–5 | 4–8 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Temple | 3–5 | 5–7 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Rice | 2–6 | 5–7 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 UAB | 2–6 | 4–8 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Tulsa | 1–7 | 4–8 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Charlotte | 0–8 | 1–11 | 0.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15). How the model works.