The American Athletic race
14 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
14 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tulane | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.2–1.8 | 54% | 32% | 20% |
 Memphis | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.9–2.1 | 41% | 21% | 8% |
 Army | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.0–2.0 | 39% | 20% | 8% |
 Navy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.7–2.3 | 24% | 10% | <1% |
 South Florida | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–2.6 | 20% | 9% | 2% |
 UTSA | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.7–3.3 | 11% | 5% | <1% |
 East Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–3.8 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 North Texas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–4.1 | 4% | 1% | 0% |
 UAB | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–5.0 | 1% | <1% | 0% |
 Rice | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–4.8 | 1% | <1% | 0% |
 Temple | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Florida Atlantic | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Charlotte | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Tulsa | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.9–7.1 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1).