The Mid-American race
13 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
13 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ohio | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.5–1.5 | 67% | 47% | 14% |
 Bowling Green | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.6–2.4 | 31% | 13% | <1% |
 Miami (OH) | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–2.9 | 27% | 12% | 1% |
 Northern Illinois | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–2.6 | 23% | 10% | <1% |
 Toledo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.2–2.8 | 21% | 9% | <1% |
 Buffalo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–3.0 | 19% | 7% | <1% |
 Western Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.7–4.3 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Central Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.7–4.3 | 4% | <1% | <1% |
 Eastern Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–5.3 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Akron | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–4.5 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Massachusetts | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Ball State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Kent State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.5–6.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.