The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 15 · 2025
The title game is set: Virginia vs Duke.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 15; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #17VirginiaClinched | 7–1 | 10–2 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 53% | 53% |
 DukeClinched | 6–2 | 7–5 | 6.0–2.0 | 100% | 47% | 4% |
 #22Georgia Tech | 6–2 | 9–3 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 #12Miami | 6–2 | 10–2 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 42% |
 Pittsburgh | 6–2 | 8–4 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 SMU | 6–2 | 8–4 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 California | 4–4 | 7–5 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Clemson | 4–4 | 7–5 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Louisville | 4–4 | 8–4 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 NC State | 4–4 | 7–5 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Wake Forest | 4–4 | 8–4 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Stanford | 3–5 | 4–8 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida State | 2–6 | 5–7 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 North Carolina | 2–6 | 4–8 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Virginia Tech | 2–6 | 3–9 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Boston College | 1–7 | 2–10 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Syracuse | 1–7 | 3–9 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15). How the model works.