SMU Mustangs

8–4 · 6–2 ACC

In the books

WEEK 15 · 2025

ACC title game

Win the ACC

<1%

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 10.0

The ACC title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1%.

Playoff odds by week

If SMU wins out: 0% to win the ACC, <1% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves SMU's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves SMU's odds. Enjoy the football.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15). How the model works.