SMU Mustangs
7–3 · 5–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
48%
ACC title game
34%
Win the ACC
33%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.2
How the week went: playoff odds 33% → 62% · title-game odds 48% → 83%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
Louisville at SMU
Your game. Beat Louisville and your playoff odds are 48%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Louisville 6–38 SMUWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
Pittsburgh at #16 Georgia Tech
ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Pittsburgh 42–28 Georgia TechWish granted ✓
Root for Pittsburgh+24.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#13 Miami at Virginia Tech
You beat Miami — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Miami 34–17 Virginia TechWish granted ✓
Root for Miami+8.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at North Carolina
ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Duke 32–25 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for North Carolina+10.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Florida State at NC State
NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Florida State 11–21 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+3.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
California at Stanford
You already beat Stanford; them losing again keeps them behind you; California visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · California 10–31 StanfordWent the other way ✗
Root for California+3.5 pp playoff odds
54 more games that don't move your needle
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13).