SMU Mustangs
2–1 · 0–0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
28%
ACC title game
14%
Win the ACC
14%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.5
How the week went: playoff odds 14% → 11% · title-game odds 28% → 24%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves SMU's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
SMU at TCU
Your game. Beat TCU and your playoff odds are 17%; lose and they drop to 12%.
Final · SMU 24–35 TCUWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
Florida at #4 Miami
You still play Miami in week 10.
Final · Florida 7–26 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Bowling Green at Louisville
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Louisville in week 13.
Final · Bowling Green 17–40 LouisvilleWent the other way ✗
Root for Bowling Green+2.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Syracuse at Clemson
ACC race: Clemson losing helps your spot in the standings; Syracuse visits your schedule in week 6 — keep them ranked.
Final · Syracuse 34–21 ClemsonWish granted ✓
Root for Syracuse+2.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ACC Network
Stanford at Virginia
ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings; Stanford visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Final · Stanford 20–48 VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Stanford+2.1 pp title-game odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4).