The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
6 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 13; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #19Virginia | 6–1 | 9–2 | 6.8–1.2 | 81% | 31% | 30% |
 #16Georgia Tech | 6–1 | 9–1 | 6.5–1.5 | 45% | 20% | 24% |
 SMU | 5–1 | 7–3 | 6.5–1.5 | 46% | 32% | 27% |
 Pittsburgh | 5–1 | 7–3 | 5.8–2.2 | 9% | 5% | 4% |
 #13Miami | 4–2 | 8–2 | 5.6–2.4 | 8% | 7% | 39% |
 Duke | 4–2 | 5–5 | 5.4–2.6 | 11% | 4% | 1% |
 Louisville | 4–3 | 7–3 | 4.3–3.7 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Wake Forest | 4–3 | 7–3 | 4.2–3.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 California | 3–3 | 6–4 | 3.8–4.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Clemson | 4–4 | 5–5 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 NC State | 2–4 | 5–5 | 3.1–4.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 North Carolina | 2–4 | 4–6 | 2.6–5.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Virginia Tech | 2–4 | 3–7 | 2.3–5.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida State | 2–5 | 5–5 | 2.6–5.4 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Stanford | 2–5 | 3–7 | 2.4–5.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Syracuse | 1–6 | 3–7 | 1.6–6.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Boston College | 0–7 | 1–10 | 0.4–7.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.